Voice to parliament polling wiki

Opinion polling on whether to change the Australian Constitution to establish an Indigenous Voice has been conducted sincewhen Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander leaders petitioned for such an amendment as part of the Uluru Statement from the Heart. At least ten firms polled Australians on the proposed amendment, greater than the number who have polled party support voice to parliament polling wiki any previous Australian election.

The Australian Indigenous Voice referendum was an unsuccessful constitutional referendum held on 14 October The proposal was rejected nationally and by a majority in every state, thus failing to secure the double majority required for amendment by section of the constitution. The Australian Capital Territory was the only state or territory with a majority of "yes" votes. During his victory speech, Albanese committed to holding a referendum to enshrine an Indigenous Voice to Parliament in his government's first term of office, acting on the request of Indigenous leaders for such a body made with the Uluru Statement from the Heart. The government settled on and announced the text of the question on the ballot and the actual amendment on 23 March The bill was examined and endorsed by the Joint Select Committee on the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice Referendum, subject to two dissenting reports authored by Liberal and National party members respectively. The Liberal Party of Australia report put forward several changes, including the deletion of sub-section ii to reduce a risk that representations from the body must be considered , a new section 77 iv to allow the parliament to control the applicability of judicial review under section 75 v of the Constitution , the addition of the words "and the legal effect of its representations" to sub-section iii to clarify the power Parliament has to legislate regarding the Voice , and the replacement of the words "executive government" to "ministers of state" to reduce the possible ambit of people to whom the Voice may make representations.

Voice to parliament polling wiki

What a poll of the national opinion polls on the Indigenous voice to parliament tells us — and how support or opposition in Australia is changing over time. The voice to parliament vote will be the first referendum in Australia since , with Australians asked to vote on the following question:. This first chart records the outcomes of opinion polls on the voice and averages the support over time to track the progress of the yes and no campaigns. You can read more about the methods below, but it is worth also keeping in mind that in addition to the uncertainty involved in polling due to sample sizes, there are a number of other factors that make measuring the polls even more difficult. One of the unique features of a constitutional referendum is the requirement for a double majority — that is, to succeed it requires a majority of voters to vote yes nationally, and it requires a majority in a majority of states, so four out of the six states must have a majority yes vote. This presents another difficulty in tracking the likelihood of success of the voice via polling, as few national polls so far have surveyed enough people to get a decently sized sample of voters from all of the six states, with South Australia, Western Australia and Tasmania in particular having low numbers. The latter will of course have a higher percentage value for the yes percentage. Here, you can see the support for the voice to parliament by state from the most recent Essential poll, along with a measure of the margin of error. This chart shows support for the voice by voting intention, again from the most recent Essential poll. Polling consistently shows a divide along party voting lines, with Labor and Greens supporters more likely to say they will support the voice, while Coalition voters are more likely to be opposed. A similar divide emerges in age groups, with younger people far more likely to say they will vote yes. New national polls are added to the data as they are released. The last day of data collection is used for sorting. Smoothing parameters for the model are estimated using restricted maximum likelihood.

Retrieved 13 October Archived from the original on 27 September

The document calls for substantive constitutional change and structural reform through the creation of two new institutions; a constitutionally protected First Nations Voice and a Makarrata Commission [a] , to oversee agreement-making and truth-telling between governments and First Nations. Such reforms should be implemented, it is argued, both in recognition of the continuing sovereignty of Indigenous peoples and to address structural "powerlessness" that has led to severe disparities between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians. These reforms can be summarised as Voice, Treaty and Truth. In October , the then Coalition government rejected the Voice proposal, characterising it as a "radical" constitutional change that would not be supported by a majority of Australians in a referendum. Following this, in May Labor leader Anthony Albanese endorsed the Uluru Statement on the occasion of his election victory and committed to implementing it in full. The resulting referendum was subsequently defeated. The council was to advise the government on steps towards a referendum to recognise Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in the Australian Constitution.

Opinion polling on whether to change the Australian Constitution to establish an Indigenous Voice has been conducted since , when Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander leaders petitioned for such an amendment as part of the Uluru Statement from the Heart. At least ten firms polled Australians on the proposed amendment, greater than the number who have polled party support for any previous Australian election. Other firms self-initiated their polls for market research or strategic communications purposes. Pollsters differed on whether to give a forced-choice question, as is done in actual Australian referendums , or allow respondents to express indecision or lack of knowledge. Some pollsters also used Likert -style questions to allow respondents to express how strong their opinion is. The Australian Constitution requires a proposed amendment to attain a double majority in the referendum — not only a majority of votes nationwide, but also a majority in at least four of the six states. Because of this requirement, the level of support in each state was of special interest.

Voice to parliament polling wiki

A referendum to establish the Voice was held on 14 October Under the government-endorsed design principles of the First Nations Referendum Working Group aka Referendum Working Group, or RWG , [5] the membership of the Voice would have been selected by Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities across the country, with an enforced gender balance at the national level. The proposal for the Voice was formally endorsed by Indigenous leaders with the Uluru Statement from the Heart , delivered at the First Nations National Constitutional Convention in

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Width Other firms self-initiated their polls for market research or strategic communications purposes. Archived from the original on 24 March Voice members would fall within the scope of the National Anti-Corruption Commission. Commonwealth of Australia. Archived from the original on 16 April Archived from the original on 16 September Zoe Daniel. Support for the voice to parliament by voting intention. ISBN Retrieved 28 April Retrieved 21 February In Australia, "executive government" comprises ministers as well as the departments they oversee. Archived from the original on 7 July National Indigenous Australians Agency.

The yes side for the Indigenous voice to parliament is being driven by three collectives with a shared history, while the no campaign has been more reluctant to share its plans. Multiparty and multi-faith forums are being planned in a show of wide support for the vote, now expected to be held in October.

Archived from the original on 23 August On 30 October , Ken Wyatt , Minister for Indigenous Australians in the Morrison government , announced the commencement of a "co-design process" aimed at providing an Indigenous voice to government. Archived from the original on 19 March Andrew Wilkie. Amends the constitution to prescribe an Indigenous Voice to Parliament. Retrieved 7 September This plot was generated with R code, mostly derived from Canley 's work on Australian federal election polls such as c:File:Australian federal election polling - 48th parliament - two party preferred. Not many based on evidence". Retrieved 6 October The Conversation. Retrieved 25 September Archived from the original on 30 March Liberal National.